Odds
Player analysis
J. Mensik comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.2, meaning J. Mensik has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving J. Mensik vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
J. Fonseca has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.8 to 18.5, with at least one match where J. Fonseca was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving J. Fonseca vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 23 Mar | Tiafoe | 7-6 4-6 7-6 | L |
| 21 Mar | Walton | 6-3 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 8 Mar | Fokina | 6-2 4-6 6-2 | L |
| 7 Mar | Giron | 5-7 6-7 | W |
| 26 Feb | Griekspoor | 3-6 6-3 2-6 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 21 Mar | Alcaraz | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 19 Mar | Marozsan | 4-6 6-3 2-6 | W |
| 11 Mar | Sinner | 6-7 6-7 | L |
| 9 Mar | Paul | 6-2 6-3 | W |
| 7 Mar | Khachanov | 6-4 6-7 4-6 | W |

