Odds
Player analysis
M. Frech has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.2. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving M. Frech vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
A. Li comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.2, meaning A. Li has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving A. Li vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 6 Mar | Hunter | 3-6 7-5 6-3 | L |
| 2 Mar | Bucsa | 6-1 4-6 6-4 | L |
| 1 Mar | Zhang | 6-2 6-7 6-3 | W |
| 27 Feb | Bouzkova | 6-3 4-6 6-3 | W |
| 26 Feb | Maneiro | 0-6 3-6 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 4 Mar | Gibson | 6-3 7-5 | L |
| 26 Feb | Sonmez | 6-3 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 15 Feb | Noskova | 6-3 5-7 6-4 | L |
| 11 Feb | Cocciaretto | 6-7 7-5 4-6 | L |
| 10 Feb | Frech | 3-6 4-6 | W |

