Odds
Player analysis
M. Fucsovics comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.9 to 17.1, with at least one match where M. Fucsovics was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Fucsovics vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Fucsovics has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -38 over recent matches.
T. Paul shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 47. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +4.6 with a downward trend. T. Paul is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving T. Paul vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 5 Apr | Tabilo | 4-6 3-6 | L |
| 21 Mar | Auger-Aliassime | 7-6 7-5 | L |
| 20 Mar | O'Connell | 6-7 3-6 | W |
| 9 Mar | Fils | 3-6 5-7 | L |
| 6 Mar | Musetti | 5-7 1-6 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 5 Apr | Burruchaga | 1-6 6-3 5-7 | W |
| 4 Apr | Tiafoe | 7-5 4-6 7-6 | W |
| 3 Apr | Etcheverry | 4-6 2-6 | W |
| 2 Apr | Vallejo | 6-3 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 26 Mar | Fils | 7-6 6-7 6-7 | L |

