HoustonClayATP Semi-finals4 Apr 2026 · 19:40
T. Paul
#18 · USA
VS
F. Tiafoe
#20 · USA
PAUL
1.455
·
TIAFOE
2.8

Odds

Market
Paul
Tiafoe
Winner
1.455
2.8
Total
line 22.5
1.96
Over 22.5
1.85
Under 22.5
Total
line 21.5
1.7
Over 21.5
2.15
Under 21.5
Handicap
games
2
-3.5 games
1.88
+3.5 games
Handicap
games
1.6
-2.5 games
2.2
+2.5 games

Player analysis

T. Paul shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 47. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +4.6 with a downward trend. T. Paul is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving T. Paul vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 4.59Trend down

F. Tiafoe has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.1, meaning F. Tiafoe has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving F. Tiafoe vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.

DS -5.14Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Paul
Stat
Tiafoe
64.8%
Win rate
59.3%
114–62
W–L
99–68

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces6
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces6
Double faults1

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

40
Clay 10
Hard 20
Indoor 10
T. Paul vs F. Tiafoe head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
HoustonClayATP Semi-finalsPaul7-5 4-6 7-6
ATP Delray BeachHardSemi-finalsPaul6-2 6-2
Adelaide 2Hard1/16-finalsPaul2-6 3-6
StockholmIndoorSemi-finalsPaul5-7 7-6 6-4