Odds
Player analysis
H. Gaston has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -15.7 to 16.4, with at least one match where H. Gaston was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving H. Gaston vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — H. Gaston has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.
K. Smith has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.3 to 19.6, with at least one match where K. Smith was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 7 Mar | Ofner | 4-6 2-6 | L |
| 6 Mar | Kouame | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 5 Mar | Smith | 3-6 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 28 Feb | Herbert | 7-5 6-2 | L |
| 27 Feb | Blanchet | 4-6 1-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 9 Mar | Martineau | 6-3 6-7 2-6 | L |
| 5 Mar | Gaston | 3-6 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 4 Mar | Holmgren | 3-6 6-3 3-6 | W |
| 2 Mar | Oberleitner | 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 1 Mar | Martineau | 1-6 5-7 | W |

