Rio de JaneiroClay1/16-finals18 Feb 2026 · 02:05
G. Miguel
#1037 · Brazil
VS
V. Gaubas
#124 · Lithuania
MIGUEL
6.5
·
GAUBAS
1.11

Odds

Market
Miguel
Gaubas
Winner
6.5
1.11
Total
line 15.5
1.07
Over 15.5
6.45
Under 15.5
Total
line 16.5
1.18
Over 16.5
4.12
Under 16.5
Handicap
games
4.2
-3.0 games
1.19
+3 games
Handicap
games
3.4
-3.5 games
1.28
+3.5 games

Player analysis

G. Miguel comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.4, meaning G. Miguel has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving G. Miguel vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — G. Miguel has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -24 over recent matches.

DS -5.41Trend mixed

V. Gaubas has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +3.4 with a downward trend. V. Gaubas is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving V. Gaubas vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+29) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 3.4Trend down

Recent form

Clay court stats

Miguel
Stat
Gaubas
31.8%
Win rate
62.5%
7–15
W–L
135–81

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved90%
Aces4
Double faults1