MonzaClay1/16-finals6 Apr 2026 · 14:40
R. Sakamoto
#165 · Japan
VS
R. Carballes Baena
#204 · Spain
SAKAMOTO
2.48
·
BAENA
1.58

Odds

Market
Sakamoto
Baena
Winner
2.48
1.58
Total
line 20.5
1.56
Over 20.5
2.21
Under 20.5
Total
line 21.0
1.64
Over 21.0
2.1
Under 21.0
Handicap
games
1.93
-2.0 games
1.76
+2 games
Handicap
games
2
-2.5 games
1.86
+2.5 games

Player analysis

R. Sakamoto comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.7, meaning R. Sakamoto has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving R. Sakamoto vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -0.74Trend mixed

R. Carballes Baena comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.8, meaning R. Carballes Baena has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving R. Carballes Baena vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Carballes Baena has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.

DS -0.81Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Sakamoto
Stat
Baena
52.9%
Win rate
61.3%
18–16
W–L
460–291

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults1
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults3