C. Gauff has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.4 to 20.8, with at least one match where C. Gauff was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving C. Gauff vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Gauff has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

K. Muchova comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 28 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -22.5 to 14.5, with at least one match where K. Muchova was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving K. Muchova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.