M. Geerts comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -21.3 to 28.7, with at least one match where M. Geerts was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving M. Geerts vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

S. Wawrinka comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.8, meaning S. Wawrinka has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving S. Wawrinka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.