Odds
Player analysis
T. Gibson comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.0, meaning T. Gibson has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving T. Gibson vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Gibson has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -28 over recent matches.
J. Paolini comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.4, meaning J. Paolini has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving J. Paolini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 28 Apr | Jeanjean | 6-7 6-2 7-5 | L |
| 22 Apr | Arango | 3-6 2-6 | L |
| 10 Apr | Stojsavljevic | 6-7 5-7 | L |
| 24 Mar | Rybakina | 6-2 6-2 | L |
| 22 Mar | Jovic | 2-6 2-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 25 Apr | Baptiste | 7-5 6-3 | L |
| 23 Apr | Siegemund | 6-3 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 15 Apr | Sonmez | 6-2 6-2 | L |
| 10 Apr | Sakatsume | 6-3 6-1 | W |
| 22 Mar | Ostapenko | 5-7 6-2 7-5 | L |

