Odds
Player analysis
L. Giustino comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.4, meaning L. Giustino has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving L. Giustino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +24 over the last five.
P. Jubb has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.5. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving P. Jubb vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — P. Jubb has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -34 over recent matches.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 11 Mar | Henning | 6-3 4-6 6-3 | W |
| 9 Mar | Durasovic | 6-7 6-4 6-3 | W |
| 6 Mar | Kuzmanov | 1-6 1-6 | L |
| 5 Mar | Gadamauri | 5-7 6-4 6-3 | W |
| 3 Mar | Fellin | 6-3 6-3 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 21 Apr | Dougaz | 6-2 6-7 3-6 | W |
| 2 Apr | Tung-Lin | 7-6 2-6 7-6 | L |
| 31 Mar | Taguchi | 6-4 1-6 4-6 | W |
| 11 Mar | Wendelken | 6-1 6-2 | W |
| 9 Mar | Tsitsipas | 6-7 3-6 | W |

