Odds
Player analysis
R. Hijikata has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.5 to 13.8, with at least one match where R. Hijikata was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving R. Hijikata vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Hijikata has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.
D. Goffin comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -12.5, meaning D. Goffin has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving D. Goffin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Goffin has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -23 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 29 Apr | Chidekh | 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 20 Apr | Rodesch | 6-7 2-6 | L |
| 3 Apr | Tiafoe | 4-6 6-3 2-6 | L |
| 1 Apr | Kovacevic | 4-6 2-6 | W |
| 17 Mar | Sweeny | 3-6 2-6 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 29 Apr | Faurel | 6-1 6-4 | L |
| 11 Apr | Nava | 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 5 Apr | Nava | 3-6 7-6 6-7 | L |
| 4 Apr | Buse | 6-2 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 12 Mar | Bautista-Agut | 6-1 6-4 | L |

