Odds
Player analysis
N. Osaka has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.9 to 14.5, with at least one match where N. Osaka was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving N. Osaka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — N. Osaka has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -10 over recent matches.
V. Golubic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.2, meaning V. Golubic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.4/10, leaving V. Golubic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 19 Mar | Golubic | 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 17 Mar | Golubic | 6-3 3-6 7-6 | L |
| 16 Mar | Golubic | 2-6 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 10 Mar | Zakharova | 7-5 7-5 | L |
| 1 Mar | Golubic | 6-7 2-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 21 Mar | Gibson | 7-5 6-4 | L |
| 10 Mar | Sabalenka | 6-2 6-4 | L |
| 8 Mar | Osorio | 1-6 6-3 1-6 | W |
| 7 Mar | Kasintseva | 5-7 2-6 | W |
| 22 Jan | Osaka | 6-3 4-6 6-2 | L |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rome | Clay | 1/32-finals | Osaka | 2-6 7-5 6-1 | |
| Olympic Games | Grass | 1/16-finals | Osaka | 3-6 2-6 |

