RomeClay1/32-finals8 May 2025 · 18:25
M. Keys
#17 · USA
VS
V. Gracheva
#58 · France
KEYS
1.18
·
GRACHEVA
5.62

Odds

Market
Keys
Gracheva
Winner
1.18
5.62
Total
line 16.5
1.22
Over 16.5
4.42
Under 16.5
Total
line 17.0
1.24
Over 17.0
3.5
Under 17.0
Handicap
games
6.6
-8.5 games
1.09
+8.5 games
Handicap
games
6.05
-8.0 games
1.11
+8 games

Player analysis

M. Keys has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -19.2 to 22.9, with at least one match where M. Keys was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving M. Keys vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 3.94Trend mixed

V. Gracheva comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -9.0, meaning V. Gracheva has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.2/10, leaving V. Gracheva vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -8.98Trend up

Recent form

Clay court stats

Keys
Stat
Gracheva
62.9%
Win rate
55.7%
90–53
W–L
73–58

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults4

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

10
Clay 10
M. Keys vs V. Gracheva head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
RomeClay1/32-finalsKeys7-6 6-1