Odds
Player analysis
T. Griekspoor has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.8 to 13.6, with at least one match where T. Griekspoor was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.
A. Kovacevic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.8 to 11.5, with at least one match where A. Kovacevic was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Kovacevic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 5 Apr | Monfils | 6-7 6-1 6-4 | L |
| 2 Apr | Assche | 6-4 1-6 6-3 | L |
| 27 Feb | Rublev | 5-7 6-7 | W |
| 26 Feb | Mensik | 3-6 6-3 2-6 | W |
| 25 Feb | Bublik | 6-3 7-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 1 Apr | Hijikata | 4-6 2-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Sakamoto | 4-6 6-3 6-7 | L |
| 9 Mar | Djokovic | 6-4 1-6 6-4 | L |
| 7 Mar | Moutet | 6-1 6-4 | W |
| 5 Mar | Hurkacz | 6-7 6-7 | W |

