Odds
Player analysis
A. Mannarino comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.5 to 18.0, with at least one match where A. Mannarino was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving A. Mannarino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.
T. Griekspoor has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.8 to 13.6, with at least one match where T. Griekspoor was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 3 Apr | Aguilar | 4-6 6-2 6-2 | L |
| 20 Mar | Paul | 6-2 2-6 6-4 | L |
| 19 Mar | Zhang | 3-6 2-6 | W |
| 13 Mar | Harris | 6-4 6-7 6-4 | L |
| 12 Mar | Bicknell | 7-6 2-6 2-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 5 Apr | Monfils | 6-7 6-1 6-4 | L |
| 2 Apr | Assche | 6-4 1-6 6-3 | L |
| 27 Feb | Rublev | 5-7 6-7 | W |
| 26 Feb | Mensik | 3-6 6-3 2-6 | W |
| 25 Feb | Bublik | 6-3 7-6 | W |

