Odds
Player analysis
D. Merida Aguilar shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 87. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.2. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving D. Merida Aguilar vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+38) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
A. Mannarino comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.0, meaning A. Mannarino has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Mannarino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 31 Mar | Schwaerzler | 6-2 6-2 | W |
| 31 Mar | Virtanen | 6-7 7-5 5-7 | W |
| 30 Mar | Purtseladze | 6-1 6-2 | W |
| 24 Mar | Houkes | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 17 Mar | Svajda | 6-0 6-7 6-2 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 20 Mar | Paul | 6-2 2-6 6-4 | L |
| 19 Mar | Zhang | 3-6 2-6 | W |
| 13 Mar | Harris | 6-4 6-7 6-4 | L |
| 12 Mar | Bicknell | 7-6 2-6 2-6 | W |
| 5 Mar | Berrettini | 4-6 7-5 7-5 | L |

