JinanHard1/16-finals8 Oct 2025 · 09:15
P. Kotov
#299 · Russia
VS
A. Holmgren
#190 · Denmark

Odds

Market
Kotov
Holmgren
Winner

Player analysis

P. Kotov arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Serve quality has been average (6.9/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 13.88Trend mixed

A. Holmgren comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.4, meaning A. Holmgren has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Holmgren vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.

DS -0.4Trend down

Recent form

Hard court stats

Kotov
Stat
Holmgren
53.3%
Win rate
62.9%
106–93
W–L
107–63

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces6
Double faults1
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces9
Double faults3

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

10
Hard 10
P. Kotov vs A. Holmgren head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
JinanHard1/16-finalsKotov6-3 6-4