FrancavillaClay1/8-finals6 May 2026 · 12:30
A. Holmgren
#167 · Denmark
VS
G. Den Ouden
#195 · Netherlands
HOLMGREN
2.26
·
OUDEN
1.54

Odds

Market
Holmgren
Ouden
Change
Winner
2.26
1.54
Total
line 19.5
1.38
Over 19.5
2.71
Under 19.5
Total
line 20.5
1.48
Over 20.5
2.41
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
1.75
-2.0 games
1.92
+2 games
Handicap
games
1.67
-2.5 games
2.02
+2.5 games

Player analysis

A. Holmgren shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 227. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.5. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Holmgren has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -32 over recent matches.

DS 6.5Trend mixed

G. Den Ouden comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.1, meaning G. Den Ouden has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving G. Den Ouden vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — G. Den Ouden has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -26 over recent matches.

DS -5.14Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Holmgren
Stat
Ouden
55.7%
Win rate
72.2%
34–27
W–L
117–45

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces10
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults4