Odds
Player analysis
V. Vacherot shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 47. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.9. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.
H. Hurkacz comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.3, meaning H. Hurkacz has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving H. Hurkacz vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 8 Apr | Musetti | 6-7 5-7 | W |
| 6 Apr | Cerundolo | 5-7 6-2 6-1 | W |
| 24 Mar | Fils | 4-6 7-6 4-6 | L |
| 23 Mar | Berrettini | 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 21 Mar | Navone | 3-6 4-6 | W |

