CanberraHardFinal5 Jan 2026 · 02:10
P. Iatcenko
#158 · Russia
VS
E. Shibahara
#209 · Japan
IATCENKO
1.71
·
SHIBAHARA
2.19

Odds

Market
Iatcenko
Shibahara
Winner
1.71
2.19

Player analysis

P. Iatcenko has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.2 to 13.5, with at least one match where P. Iatcenko was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving P. Iatcenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 2.4Trend mixed

E. Shibahara comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.6, meaning E. Shibahara has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving E. Shibahara vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Shibahara has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -26 over recent matches.

DS -3.6Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLLWWW

3W 2L last 5

2 FebYamaguchi7-5 3-6 3-6L
13 JanCarle3-6 3-6L
6 JanAiava6-7 6-3 6-3W
5 JanShibahara4-6 7-6 6-2W
4 JanWei6-3 6-3W
Recent form bar chartLLLWL

1W 4L last 5

21 FebDolehide6-2 4-6 6-4L
12 JanRiera6-4 1-6 6-3L
5 JanIatcenko4-6 7-6 6-2L
4 JanWebb6-7 1-6W
27 OctZakharova4-6 1-6L

Hard court stats

Iatcenko
Stat
Shibahara
66.4%
Win rate
51.8%
146–74
W–L
72–67

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved40%
Aces4
Double faults5