D. Shapovalov comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.9, meaning D. Shapovalov has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving D. Shapovalov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.

R. Jodar shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 43. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving R. Jodar vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.