MadridClayATP Quarter-finals29 Apr 2026 · 16:00
J. Sinner
#1 · Italy
VS
R. Jodar
#42 · Spain
SINNER
1.14
·
JODAR
6.62

Odds

Market
Sinner
Jodar
Change
Winner
1.14
6.62
Total
line 16.5
1.07
Over 16.5
5.75
Under 16.5
Total
line 17.0
1.09
Over 17.0
5.3
Under 17.0
Handicap
games
9.5
-8.5 games
1.02
+8.5 games
Handicap
games
9.9
-8.0 games
1.03
+8 games

Player analysis

J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Serve quality has been average (7.0/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Sinner has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -41 over recent matches.

DS 14.47Trend mixed

R. Jodar shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 47. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.2. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving R. Jodar vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +19 over the last five.

DS 7.22Trend down

Recent form

Clay court stats

Sinner
Stat
Jodar
71.8%
Win rate
54.8%
89–35
W–L
17–14

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won70%
BP converted50%
BP saved20%
Aces5
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces3
Double faults2