Odds
Player analysis
J. De Jong comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.2, meaning J. De Jong has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving J. De Jong vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.
R. Pacheco Mendez has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -1.6 to 22.2, with at least one match where R. Pacheco Mendez was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 11 Apr | Bonzi | 6-4 6-1 | W |
| 4 Apr | Garin | 7-5 1-6 6-1 | L |
| 30 Mar | Hanfmann | 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 25 Mar | Butvilas | 7-5 2-6 6-4 | L |
| 24 Mar | Pieri | 7-5 1-6 6-7 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 11 Apr | Pavlovic | 2-6 6-4 7-6 | L |
| 10 Apr | Artnak | 4-6 6-3 5-7 | W |
| 8 Apr | McDonald | 6-2 6-2 | W |
| 5 Apr | Duckworth | 4-6 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 4 Apr | Ficovich | 6-3 1-6 4-6 | W |

