MadridClay1/16-finals25 Apr 2026 · 11:00
A. Kalinina
#110 · Ukraine
VS
N. Osaka
#15 · Japan

Odds

Market
Kalinina
Osaka
Change
Winner
Total
line 18.0
1.15
Over 18.0
4.3
Under 18.0
Total
line 19.0
1.29
Over 19.0
3.08
Under 19.0
Handicap
games
1.66
-2.0 games
2.11
+2 games
Handicap
games
1.61
-2.5 games
2.2
+2.5 games

Player analysis

A. Kalinina arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Kalinina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 12.62Trend mixed

N. Osaka has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.9 to 14.5, with at least one match where N. Osaka was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving N. Osaka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 3.82Trend up

Recent form

Clay court stats

Kalinina
Stat
Osaka
61.9%
Win rate
57.3%
99–61
W–L
47–35

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces7
Double faults1