BogotaClayWTA Final29 Mar 2026 · 20:45
M. Tona
#319 · Italy
VS
L. Karatancheva
#303 · Bulgaria
TONA
2.42
·
KARATANCHEVA
1.602

Odds

Market
Tona
Karatancheva
Winner
2.42
1.602
Total
line 20.0
1.758
Over 20.0
2.07
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
1.8
Over 20.5
1.91
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
1.79
+3.5 games
1.91
-3.5 games
Handicap
games
1.94
+2.5 games
1.75
-2.5 games

Player analysis

M. Tona comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.9, meaning M. Tona has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.1/10, leaving M. Tona vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -7.94Trend mixed

L. Karatancheva comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -16.2 to 26.9, with at least one match where L. Karatancheva was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving L. Karatancheva vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Karatancheva has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.

DS 1.33Trend mixed

Recent form

WLWLW

3W 2L last 5

29 MarCengiz6-3 1-6 6-4W
18 MarAlvesL
17 MarOlivaresW
15 MarStrakhovaL
14 MarGomezW

Clay court stats

Tona
Stat
Karatancheva
54.9%
Win rate
46.1%
90–74
W–L
59–69

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces2
Double faults2