L. Karatancheva comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -16.2 to 26.9, with at least one match where L. Karatancheva was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving L. Karatancheva vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Karatancheva has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.

C. Paquet comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.5 with a downward trend. C. Paquet is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving C. Paquet vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.