Odds
Player analysis
E. Karlovskiy comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -9.5, meaning E. Karlovskiy has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving E. Karlovskiy vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
R. Strombachs comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.3 with a downward trend. R. Strombachs is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.5/10, leaving R. Strombachs vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 20 Jul | Gadamauri | 6-3 3-6 7-6 | L |
| 13 Jul | Slump | 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 29 May | Strombachs | 3-6 2-6 | L |
| 28 May | Gerasimov | 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 20 May | Chidekh | 6-1 6-3 | L |
1W 4L last 5
| 6 Feb | Hardt | 7-5 6-7 6-2 | L |
| 12 Jan | Moeller | 7-6 2-6 3-6 | L |
| 11 Jan | Matusevich | 7-6 6-3 | W |
| 6 Jan | Erhard | 6-7 6-3 6-7 | L |
| 6 Oct | Tsitsipas | 4-6 7-5 6-4 | L |

