Odds
Player analysis
E. Winter comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.4, meaning E. Winter has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving E. Winter vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.
M. Kasnikowski has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving M. Kasnikowski vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 20 Feb | Galarneau | 5-7 7-5 7-5 | L |
| 19 Feb | Martin | 6-2 3-6 6-3 | W |
| 17 Feb | Dickerson | 6-2 7-5 | W |
| 12 Jan | Fery | 6-2 6-4 | L |
| 5 Jan | Shimabukuro | 6-4 6-1 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 22 Apr | Kuhar | 1-6 0-6 | W |
| 7 Apr | Assche | 2-6 4-6 | L |
| 6 Apr | Nagal | 6-4 3-6 0-6 | W |
| 5 Apr | Lokoli | 2-6 6-3 3-6 | W |
| 2 Apr | Guerrieri | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | L |

