M. Kessler has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +1.6 with a downward trend. M. Kessler is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving M. Kessler vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

L. Samsonova comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -15.0 to 32.6, with at least one match where L. Samsonova was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving L. Samsonova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.