Odds
Player analysis
K. Khachanov comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.9 to 14.0, with at least one match where K. Khachanov was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — K. Khachanov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.
V. Royer comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.5 to 12.2, with at least one match where V. Royer was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving V. Royer vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 22 Mar | Landaluce | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Bautista-Agut | 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 7 Mar | Fonseca | 6-4 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 25 Feb | Brooksby | 7-6 6-4 | L |
| 24 Feb | Shevchenko | 7-6 2-6 3-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 3 Apr | Martinez | 7-6 4-6 3-6 | L |
| 1 Apr | Butvilas | 6-3 7-5 | W |
| 20 Mar | Tirante | 5-7 7-6 6-7 | L |
| 13 Mar | Navone | 6-2 7-6 | L |
| 13 Mar | Bautista-Agut | 4-6 6-7 | W |

