LuganoClay1/8-finals25 Feb 2026 · 18:05
N. Budkov Kjaer
#137 · Norway
VS
P. Nesterov
#448 · Bulgaria
KJAER
1.21
·
NESTEROV
4.84

Odds

Market
Kjaer
Nesterov
Winner
1.21
4.84

Player analysis

N. Budkov Kjaer has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.5, meaning N. Budkov Kjaer has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving N. Budkov Kjaer vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — N. Budkov Kjaer has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

DS -3.48Trend up

P. Nesterov shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 380. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.1 to 8.6, with at least one match where P. Nesterov was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving P. Nesterov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — P. Nesterov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.

DS 3.64Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLLWWW

3W 2L last 5

11 MarBertola5-7 1-6L
8 MarOfner6-7 6-3 7-6L
7 MarVirtanen6-4 2-6 6-7W
6 MarChoinski6-4 7-6W
4 MarNishikori3-6 6-4 6-2W
Recent form bar chartLWWWW

4W 1L last 5

13 MarMrva3-6 3-6L
12 MarGentzsch6-7 2-6W
10 MarJones3-6 6-3 6-4W
9 MarMaxted3-6 6-7W
8 MarBittoun4-6 5-7W

Clay court stats

Kjaer
Stat
Nesterov
62.7%
Win rate
61.2%
47–28
W–L
82–52

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces7
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults0