Hersonissos 2Hard1/16-finals10 Mar 2026 · 14:15
P. Nesterov
#430 · Bulgaria
VS
M. Jones
#434 · Thailand
NESTEROV
1.56
·
JONES
2.5

Odds

Market
Nesterov
Jones
Winner
1.56
2.5
Total
line 20.5
1.78
Over 20.5
2.07
Under 20.5
Total
line 21.0
1.85
Over 21.0
1.97
Under 21.0
Handicap
games
3.04
-5.5 games
1.32
+5.5 games
Handicap
games
2.8
-5.0 games
1.37
+5 games

Player analysis

P. Nesterov shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 404. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.1 to 8.6, with at least one match where P. Nesterov was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving P. Nesterov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — P. Nesterov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.

DS 3.64Trend mixed

M. Jones comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.8, meaning M. Jones has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving M. Jones vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Jones has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -10 over recent matches.

DS -1.78Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Nesterov
Stat
Jones
60.9%
Win rate
49.1%
56–36
W–L
79–82

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults0
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces7
Double faults4