Odds
Player analysis
T. Kostovic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving T. Kostovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Kostovic has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.
L. Pigossi comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.3, meaning L. Pigossi has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving L. Pigossi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Pigossi has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 12 Mar | Erjavec | 6-2 4-6 6-4 | L |
| 10 Mar | Pigato | 4-6 6-4 7-6 | W |
| 3 Mar | Riera | 7-6 4-6 6-3 | L |
| 2 Mar | Pigossi | 6-2 6-3 | W |
| 1 Mar | Karatancheva | 6-1 6-2 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 2 Mar | Kostovic | 6-2 6-3 | L |
| 1 Mar | Ibragimova | 6-4 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 24 Feb | Shymanovich | 6-0 1-6 3-6 | L |
| 1 Feb | Ferro | 6-1 6-1 | L |
| 31 Jan | Werner | 5-7 7-5 6-7 | W |

