Odds
Player analysis
I. Swiatek has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.8 to 29.8, with at least one match where I. Swiatek was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving I. Swiatek vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+31) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
M. Kostyuk comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.1 to 13.1, with at least one match where M. Kostyuk was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving M. Kostyuk vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Kostyuk has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 19 Mar | Linette | 1-6 7-5 6-3 | L |
| 12 Mar | Svitolina | 6-2 4-6 6-4 | L |
| 11 Mar | Muchova | 2-6 0-6 | W |
| 10 Mar | Sakkari | 3-6 2-6 | W |
| 7 Mar | Day | 0-6 6-7 | W |

