CincinnatiHard1/16-finals11 Aug 2025 · 16:00
I. Swiatek
#4 · Poland
VS
M. Kostyuk
#27 · Ukraine
SWIATEK
1.15
·
KOSTYUK
6.39

Odds

Market
Swiatek
Kostyuk
Winner
1.15
6.39

Player analysis

I. Swiatek has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.8 to 29.8, with at least one match where I. Swiatek was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving I. Swiatek vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+31) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 12.67Trend down

M. Kostyuk comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.1 to 13.1, with at least one match where M. Kostyuk was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving M. Kostyuk vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Kostyuk has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.

DS 1.29Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Swiatek
Stat
Kostyuk
77.1%
Win rate
63.6%
212–63
W–L
154–88

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted60%
BP saved70%
Aces2
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults5