ATP MontpellierIndoor1/16-finals4 Feb 2026 · 10:00
M. McDonald
#126 · USA
VS
A. Kovacevic
#98 · USA

Odds

Market
McDonald
Kovacevic
Change
Winner

Player analysis

M. McDonald comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -11.8, meaning M. McDonald has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving M. McDonald vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. McDonald has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.

DS -11.83Trend mixed

A. Kovacevic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.8 to 11.5, with at least one match where A. Kovacevic was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving A. Kovacevic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.

DS 0.37Trend mixed

Recent form

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved60%
Aces1
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces10
Double faults3

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

12
Indoor 01
Grass 10
Hard 01
M. McDonald vs A. Kovacevic head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
ViennaIndoorFinalKovacevic6-2 1-6 2-6
LondonGrassSemi-finalsMcDonald6-2 7-6
SeoulHardQuarter-finalsKovacevic6-4 3-6 2-6