Odds
Player analysis
P. Kypson comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.1 to 21.3, with at least one match where P. Kypson was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — P. Kypson has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -39 over recent matches.
A. De Minaur comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.4, meaning A. De Minaur has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving A. De Minaur vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 28 Apr | Berrettini | 4-6 7-6 6-7 | L |
| 23 Apr | Tsitsipas | 6-3 6-7 6-7 | L |
| 21 Apr | Basilashvili | 7-6 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 20 Apr | Kouame | 6-2 6-2 | W |
| 12 Apr | Ofner | 6-4 6-4 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 24 Apr | Jodar | 6-3 6-1 | L |
| 15 Apr | Medjedovic | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 14 Apr | Ofner | 7-6 6-4 | W |
| 10 Apr | Vacherot | 6-4 3-6 6-3 | L |
| 9 Apr | Blockx | 5-7 6-7 | W |

