Odds
Player analysis
M. Lajal comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.7 with a downward trend. M. Lajal is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving M. Lajal vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Lajal has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.
R. Pacheco Mendez has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -1.6 to 22.2, with at least one match where R. Pacheco Mendez was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 26 Feb | Herbert | 4-6 6-7 | L |
| 24 Feb | Berrettini | 6-3 6-1 | W |
| 7 Feb | Dippenaar | 1-6 4-6 | W |
| 28 Jan | Kotov | 6-3 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 21 Jan | Kukushkin | 6-7 6-2 7-5 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 11 Apr | Pavlovic | 2-6 6-4 7-6 | L |
| 10 Apr | Artnak | 4-6 6-3 5-7 | W |
| 8 Apr | McDonald | 6-2 6-2 | W |
| 5 Apr | Duckworth | 4-6 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 4 Apr | Ficovich | 6-3 1-6 4-6 | W |

