E. Rybakina comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 12 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -15.8 to 22.5, with at least one match where E. Rybakina was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

E. Lys comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -12.1, meaning E. Lys has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 4.9/10, leaving E. Lys vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Lys has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.