E. Nava has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.3 to 12.4, with at least one match where E. Nava was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving E. Nava vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.

T. Machac comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.3, meaning T. Machac has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving T. Machac vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Machac has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -27 over recent matches.