DohaHard1/16-finals16 Feb 2026 · 17:40
T. Machac
#41 · Czech Republic
VS
J. Sinner
#1 · Italy
MACHAC
10.5
·
SINNER
1.08

Odds

Market
Machac
Sinner
Winner
10.5
1.08

Player analysis

T. Machac comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.8, meaning T. Machac has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving T. Machac vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Machac has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

DS -2.78Trend mixed

J. Sinner arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Serve quality has been average (7.0/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 15.02Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Machac
Stat
Sinner
64.7%
Win rate
80.5%
154–84
W–L
248–60

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won70%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces4
Double faults1

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

04
Clay 01
Hard 03
T. Machac vs J. Sinner head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
Monte CarloClayATP 1/8-finalsSinner1-6 7-6 3-6
DohaHard1/16-finalsSinner1-6 4-6
ATP ShanghaiHardSemi-finalsSinner6-4 7-5
ATP MiamiHardQuarter-finalsSinner4-6 2-6