FrancavillaClaySemi-finals3 May 2026 · 15:15
L. Marmousez
#309 · France
VS
A. Paolini
#1497 · Italy
MARMOUSEZ
1.06
·
PAOLINI
10.5

Odds

Market
Marmousez
Paolini
Winner
1.06
10.5
Total
line 17.0
1.53
Over 17.0
2.31
Under 17.0
Total
line 17.5
1.72
Over 17.5
1.99
Under 17.5
Handicap
games
2
-7.0 games
1.81
+7 games
Handicap
games
1.8
-6.5 games
1.89
+6.5 games

Player analysis

L. Marmousez shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 526. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.2 to 26.7, with at least one match where L. Marmousez was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 8.54Trend down

A. Paolini comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 2. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -16.2, meaning A. Paolini has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving A. Paolini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.

DS -16.25Trend stable

Recent form

LLWLL

1W 4L last 5

3 MayMarmousez6-4 6-2L
19 FebCretuL
18 FebOrlovW
13 NovDonaldL
4 MayTravaglia6-0 6-3L

Clay court stats

Marmousez
Stat
Paolini
68.6%
Win rate
45.7%
127–58
W–L
43–51

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted60%
BP saved40%
Aces4
Double faults1
1st serve %70%
1st serve won50%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults2