ATP Indian WellsHardFinal4 Mar 2026 · 01:30
T. Svajda
#371 · USA
VS
M. McDonald
#125 · USA
SVAJDA
3.2
·
MCDONALD
1.38

Odds

Market
Svajda
McDonald
Winner
3.2
1.38
Total
line 19.0
1.37
Over 19.0
2.66
Under 19.0
Total
line 19.5
1.49
Over 19.5
2.3
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
2.55
-2.0 games
1.44
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.38
-2.5 games
1.5
+2.5 games

Player analysis

T. Svajda comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.1, meaning T. Svajda has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving T. Svajda vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -2.13Trend mixed

M. McDonald has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -20.3 to 29.4, with at least one match where M. McDonald was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving M. McDonald vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.

DS 3.96Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWLLW

2W 3L last 5

4 MarMcDonald4-6 2-6L
3 MarNardi6-4 6-7 3-6W
11 FebQuinn6-7 5-7L
29 JanDraxl3-6 4-6L
27 JanBraswell2-6 2-6W
Recent form bar chartLWLWW

3W 2L last 5

13 MarKecmanovic6-4 7-6L
11 MarLandaluce3-6 6-2 7-5W
8 MarNorrie6-2 6-3L
6 MarArnaldi0-6 1-6W
4 MarSvajda4-6 2-6W

Hard court stats

Svajda
Stat
McDonald
57.7%
Win rate
56.8%
75–55
W–L
260–198

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces4
Double faults2