MiamiHardATP Semi-finals16 Mar 2026 · 19:35
N. Mejia
#150 · Colombia
VS
C. O'Connell
#142 · Australia
MEJIA
3.68
·
O'CONNELL
1.3

Odds

Market
Mejia
O'Connell
Winner
3.68
1.3
Total
line 19.0
1.25
Over 19.0
3.28
Under 19.0
Total
line 19.5
1.36
Over 19.5
2.7
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
2.72
-2.0 games
1.39
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.43
-2.5 games
1.48
+2.5 games

Player analysis

N. Mejia arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.

DS 10.62Trend mixed

C. O'Connell comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.9, meaning C. O'Connell has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving C. O'Connell vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. O'Connell has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.

DS -4.88Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Mejia
Stat
O'Connell
47.6%
Win rate
54.7%
98–108
W–L
158–131

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved80%
Aces8
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults2