M. Tobon has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +3.0 with a downward trend. M. Tobon is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving M. Tobon vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

F. Mena comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.3, meaning F. Mena has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving F. Mena vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.