A. De Minaur comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.4, meaning A. De Minaur has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving A. De Minaur vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.

J. Mensik has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.9 to 13.5, with at least one match where J. Mensik was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.9/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +16 over the last five.