Odds
Player analysis
I. Simakin comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.4, meaning I. Simakin has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — I. Simakin has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -16 over recent matches.
D. Michalski comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.0, meaning D. Michalski has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving D. Michalski vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Michalski has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 23 Apr | Kwon | 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 21 Apr | Bolt | 6-7 6-3 1-6 | W |
| 14 Apr | Shimabukuro | 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 10 Apr | Kotov | 2-6 7-6 6-3 | L |
| 8 Apr | Ostapenkov | 3-6 3-6 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 30 Mar | Basilashvili | 6-4 7-5 | L |
| 24 Mar | Silva | 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 19 Mar | Gea | 3-6 6-7 | L |
| 17 Mar | Pieri | 3-6 0-6 | W |
| 23 Feb | Gray | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | L |

