Odds
Player analysis
D. Michalski comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.0, meaning D. Michalski has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving D. Michalski vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Michalski has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.
A. Gea shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 220. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.3 to 10.7, with at least one match where A. Gea was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. Gea vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Gea has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 17 Mar | Pieri | 3-6 0-6 | W |
| 23 Feb | Gray | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | L |
| 19 Feb | Geerts | 7-6 6-4 | L |
| 16 Feb | Singh | 6-4 6-7 3-6 | W |
| 30 Jan | Bax | 6-2 6-4 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 18 Mar | Kuzmanov | 6-4 2-6 3-6 | W |
| 14 Mar | Cecchinato | 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 13 Mar | Napolitano | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 10 Mar | Bouchelaghem | 6-2 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 6 Mar | Napolitano | 7-6 5-7 6-3 | L |

