US OpenHard1/64-finals26 Aug 2025 · 23:35
C. O'Connell
#142 · Australia
VS
A. De Minaur
#6 · Australia

Odds

Market
O'Connell
Minaur
Winner

Player analysis

C. O'Connell comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.6, meaning C. O'Connell has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving C. O'Connell vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. O'Connell has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -39 over recent matches.

DS -6.64Trend up

A. De Minaur comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.8, meaning A. De Minaur has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. De Minaur vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. De Minaur has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

DS -5.77Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

O'Connell
Stat
Minaur
54.7%
Win rate
64.7%
158–131
W–L
255–139

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted20%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults1
1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults3