Odds
Player analysis
A. De Minaur comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.6, meaning A. De Minaur has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. De Minaur vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. De Minaur has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.
A. Rinderknech comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.3, meaning A. Rinderknech has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving A. Rinderknech vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 21 Mar | Tsitsipas | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 9 Mar | Norrie | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 8 Mar | Korda | 6-4 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 24 Feb | Kypson | 6-1 6-7 7-6 | L |
| 15 Feb | Auger-Aliassime | 6-3 6-2 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 6 Apr | Khachanov | 7-5 6-2 | W |
| 21 Mar | Atmane | 7-6 6-3 | L |
| 10 Mar | Alcaraz | 6-7 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 26 Feb | Rublev | 6-2 6-4 | L |
| 25 Feb | Draper | 7-5 6-7 6-4 | W |